Qaimera Growth Score
Powered by GenAI algorithms, the Growth Score measures and predicts revenue and earnings growth.
What is the Growth Score?
Qaimera's Growth Score is a proprietary, multi-factor ensemble model designed to estimate forward-looking growth potential over 1-year and 5-year horizons.
The model synthesizes signals across 5 distinct analytical pillars to produce a robust, consensus driven growth projection for both revenue and earnings.
How is Qaimera's Growth Score calculated?
Fundamental health score
Looks at company fundamentals including financial performance, revenue trends, and profitability indicators. This pillar evaluates the core financial strength and long-term stability of a business.
Derivative market sentiment
Uses options implied data to measure market expectations and sentiment. This helps capture forward-looking signals from derivative markets about potential growth.
Proprietary risk model outputs
Integrates outputs from Qaimera’s proprietary risk models. These models help assess risk-adjusted growth potential across different market conditions.
Historical growth trajectory
Analyzes historical revenue and earnings growth patterns. This pillar identifies trends and consistency in a company’s past performance to support future projections.
Business regime identification
Evaluates the broader business and economic environment in which a company operates. This helps determine how different market regimes may influence growth potential.
What is the output?
- 1-year revenue Growth Score
- 5-year revenue Growth Score
- 1-year earnings Growth Score
How is the Growth Score validated?
Back-testing performance of score against realized growth over rolling windows of time
Rank correlation: stability of decile rankings month over month
Growth strategy performance: Qaimera technologies has built a Growth Score based investment strategy that has delivered significant outperformance